McCarthy: Arsenal takes their chances better than we do. Paddy: Wrong!
Mick McCarthy has talked to the press about the upcoming match against Arsenal at The Emirates. Let us analyse parts of the text from the Official Site.
“I don’t know if us playing them in between two Champions League games makes any difference but they’ve got a squad to cope with it.”
I’m not so sure about that! With Fabregas, Gallas and Arshavin out of the team and the rest having played against Barcelona only three days before and going to play them again three days after the match against Wolves, we do have an advantage and it does make a difference. Fabregas, Gallas and Arshavin can not be replaced by players equally skilled.
“And they’ve got the size of the pitch and the surface going for them as well.“
That is correct. A bigger size of the pitch gives a team that is good at passes and to hold the ball in the team a clear advantage.
“We played well against them for 30-odd minutes at our place and we’re a better outfit than we were then. We’re not perfect but we’re certainly better than we were.“
Yes! We played very well those 30 minutes and they were lucky to get their first goal and we were unlucky not to get one.
And Yes! We are better now as a team. Both Wolves attack and defence are better and we have taken more points.
“If it’s end-to-end and they have a chance and we have a chance we’ll get beaten because they’ll take their chances better than we do.”
I’m sorry, Mick. But you are wrong! Statistics show that Wolves are better at both defending and attacking. The difference is that Arsenal usually launch more attacks than Wolves and the result is that they get more goals. But taken chance by chance Wolves are actually the team with the better precision. I have just proved this without a doubt in a stats analysis HERE.
I am actually a bit perplexed that with the costly statistical hardware and software available to Wolves they don’t seem to have their facts right about this. Tell Mick the truth, statisticans of Wolves. Or look at Paddytheflie’s simple stats.
“We’ve done alright in March but we’re not the finished product by any stretch of the imagination. So we’re going to have to defend and be solid, but within that you have to be sensible with the ball, you’ve got to keep it and you’ve got to manage the game, if you can. But there are always certain things that are unmanageable that can happen – moments of brilliance when sometimes you look back and think: ‘We could have stopped that’ – well actually you couldn’t because it was just magnificent. That’s why people watch football because they want to see those things. They scored some goals like that at our place. We know they can play fabulous football and we have to try to contain that.”
Wolves are far from the finished product, of course. I’m glad that McCarthy mentions that we have to keep the ball. When doing that we are preventing Arsenal from possession and they can not launch double the amount of attacks on us than we on them. that is the usual outcome of a match against the top three. And that is why they often win against us.
Not because they have more precision in their attacks. And not because they are better at defending. I’ve proved that it is the other way around (HERE). Wolves are better than Arsenal in attacking and defending.