Head to Head Stats: Doyle, Ebanks-Blake Or Fletcher
Our closest options to replace Kevin Doyle are Steven Fletcher and Sylvan Ebanks-Blake. But do they measure up to the skills and abilities of Doyle and which one of them should Mick chose in a 4-5-1 type of formation?
My own favorite for the role is Sylvan, but I turned to the stats to get a more objective answer to my questions. I know that the available stats aren’t enough to fully answer the questions proposed, but perhaps we can arrive a bit closer to a solution?!
These are the stats I’ve found and developed:
|Goals / freq
||5 / 434 min.
||6 / 184 min.
||5 / 154 min.
|Assists / freq
||4 / 543 min.
||3 / 369 min.
||0 / –
||71 / 68%
||21 / 34%
||12 / 36%
||16 / 64%
||15 / 65%
||7 / 64%
||33 /66 min.
||26 / 43 min.
||21 / 37 min.
|Shots on goal
||15 / 45%
||14 / 54%
||9 / 43%
|created attacks freq
Let me take you through these stats and interpret them the way I see them. It’s easy to fall in the trap and pay too much attention to the figures without confronting them with the actual circumstances in which they were produced.
Doyle has played almost double the time of Ebanks-Blake (SEB) and three times that of Fletcher. But yet he has not produced more goals than them. Only one in 434 minutes on the pitch. Why? Is he really our best front-man?
You have to bear in mind that Doyle practically makes a midfielders job when he is the lone man upfront. Especially against the better teams. A lot of defending is part of his job description.
SEB and Fletcher are often coming on to form a 4-4-2-formation in which they have more back-up going forward. They also often comes on in a moment in the game when Wolves are pushing forward to get something from the game, so it’s not a surprise that they have scored more goals when counting per minute.
The difference is – on the other hand – very big and maybe both Fletcher and SEB really are better strikers – as in scorers of goals – than Doyle. Some people believe this and they can make their own interpretation of the stats that supports them.
The greatest difference between Doyle and the other two is his ability to win fouls. 71 of them and 68% won, that will be many free-kicks for Wolves in dangerous areas for our opponents and a way for Wolves to keep the ball and keep it high up the pitch.
Fletcher and SEB give away many more fouls than they manage to win. That could mean counter attacks by our opponents.
We can conclude that there are certain areas where Fletcher and SEB does not measure up to the skills of Doyle, but in the striking department they are at least Doylers equals. Could the stats say anything about who is the best of Fletch and SEB?
That’s a hard one and I have to say no. Their stats are very similar, only small differences, to small to give any of them an advantage over the other, in my opinion.
So I am – together with my 1.000 cousins in the hairdo of Mick McCarthy and many other supporters – left with my own subjective views on who our manager should play.
I believe he should play the one that has the best form for the day. Or maybe play them both in a 4-4-2? With Milijas and O’Hara on the inner midfield we may now have enough strength in the team to play that way without being over-ran. But your opinion is as good as mine on this, really.
UP THE WOLVES!!!